AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 1 Feb 17, 2024

Fortaleza

Home
VS
19:40

Ceará

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Fortaleza Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Ceará Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 35%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.18 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortaleza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Ceará Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Fortaleza Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Fortaleza vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Jan 31 Fortaleza vs Iguatu 3-1
Jan 20 Fortaleza vs Horizonte 2-0
Dec 07 Fortaleza vs Santos 1-2
Dec 03 Fortaleza vs Goiás 1-0
Nov 30 Fortaleza vs RB Bragan… 1-2
Nov 26 Fortaleza vs Palmeiras 2-2
Nov 23 Fortaleza vs Botafogo 2-2
Nov 18 Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro 0-1
Nov 02 Fortaleza vs Atletico-… 3-1
Ceará Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Ceará vs Floresta 1-0
Nov 25 Ceará vs Juventude 1-3
Nov 18 Ceará vs Vila Nova 3-1
Apr 08 Ceará vs Fortaleza 2-2
Mar 18 Ceará vs Iguatu 2-0
Mar 12 Ceará vs Iguatu 1-1
Jan 31 Ceará vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Jan 22 Ceará vs Ferroviár… 3-0
Oct 27 Ceará vs Internaci… 2-1
Sep 04 Ceará vs Flamengo 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fortaleza in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 08, 2023 Ceará 2 - 2 Fortaleza Cearense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortaleza Power 0
Ceará Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Fortaleza Position

0

Position Gap

1

Ceará Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.