AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Oct 22, 2025

MOIK

Home
VS
10:00

Baku Sportinq

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
MOIK Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Baku Sportinq Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.74 - 1.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.3
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MOIK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Baku Sportinq Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
MOIK Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 4-1
Oct 02 MOIK vs Safa Baku 4-1
Sep 25 MOIK vs Zaqatala 0-1
Sep 19 MOIK vs Åžimal 1-1
Sep 11 MOIK vs ÅžahdaÄŸ 1-2
May 16 MOIK vs Energetik 1-3
May 02 MOIK vs Qabala 1-0
Apr 10 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 2-1
Mar 27 MOIK vs Difai AÄŸsu 1-3
Mar 14 MOIK vs Energetik 1-0
Baku Sportinq Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 17 Baku Spor… vs Safa Baku 1-2
Oct 02 Baku Spor… vs Zaqatala 1-1
Sep 25 Baku Spor… vs Şimal 4-1
Sep 18 Baku Spor… vs Şahdağ 2-3
Sep 13 Baku Spor… vs Difai Ağsu 2-2
Apr 24 Baku Spor… vs Energetik 4-0
Apr 10 Baku Spor… vs Qabala 6-1
Feb 20 Baku Spor… vs Energetik 0-1
Feb 07 Baku Spor… vs Qabala 0-0
Nov 08 Baku Spor… vs Energetik 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • MOIK struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MOIK Power 0
Baku Sportinq Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

MOIK Position

-4

Position Gap

2

Baku Sportinq Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.