AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Apr 04, 2025

Dordrecht

Home
VS
18:00

Jong AZ

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Dordrecht Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Jong AZ Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.83 - 1.40
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dordrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Jong AZ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Dordrecht Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 Dordrecht vs Sparta Ro… 2-0
Mar 15 Dordrecht vs Spakenburg 2-2
Mar 14 Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo 4-0
Feb 14 Dordrecht vs Roda 2-1
Feb 08 Dordrecht vs Helmond S… 0-1
Jan 24 Dordrecht vs Vitesse 0-3
Jan 18 Dordrecht vs Excelsior… 2-0
Jan 14 Dordrecht vs Noordwijk 1-0
Jan 11 Dordrecht vs HHC 3-1
Dec 20 Dordrecht vs PSV Eindh… 3-3
Jong AZ Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Jong AZ vs MVV Maast… 0-1
Mar 11 Jong AZ vs ADO Den H… 0-3
Mar 11 Jong AZ vs Emmen 0-2
Mar 07 Jong AZ vs Utrecht 5-1
Mar 03 Jong AZ vs PSV Eindh… 0-2
Feb 07 Jong AZ vs Roda 3-3
Feb 03 Jong AZ vs VVV Venlo 3-0
Jan 13 Jong AZ vs Jong AZ 2-1
Dec 23 Jong AZ vs Roda 3-1
Dec 13 Jong AZ vs Emmen 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dordrecht in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Jong AZ in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 30, 2024 Jong AZ 0 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Jan 29, 2024 Jong AZ 2 - 2 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dordrecht to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dordrecht Power 0
Jong AZ Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Dordrecht Position

+6

Position Gap

15

Jong AZ Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.