AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Oct 18, 2024

ADO Den Haag

Home
VS
18:00

Roda

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
ADO Den Haag Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Roda Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.74 - 1.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ADO Den Haag Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Roda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
ADO Den Haag Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 ADO Den H… vs FC OSS 1-5
Sep 16 ADO Den H… vs Jong PSV 2-2
Aug 10 ADO Den H… vs VVV Venlo 1-1
Aug 02 ADO Den H… vs Jong AZ 1-2
May 25 ADO Den H… vs Excelsior 7-1
May 22 ADO Den H… vs Excelsior 1-2
May 18 ADO Den H… vs De Graafs… 2-2
May 14 ADO Den H… vs De Graafs… 2-3
May 10 ADO Den H… vs Jong PSV 2-3
May 03 ADO Den H… vs NAC Breda 2-2
Roda Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Roda vs MVV Maast… 1-0
Sep 13 Roda vs Emmen 1-3
Sep 01 Roda vs De Graafs… 1-4
Aug 25 Roda vs VVV Venlo 1-1
Aug 16 Roda vs FC OSS 0-0
Aug 12 Roda vs Jong AZ 6-1
May 17 Roda vs NAC Breda 0-5
May 13 Roda vs NAC Breda 3-1
May 10 Roda vs Groningen 2-0
May 03 Roda vs Cambuur 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2024 Roda 2 - 2 ADO Den Haag Eerste Divisie
Aug 18, 2023 ADO Den Haag 0 - 3 Roda Eerste Divisie
Apr 07, 2023 Roda 1 - 1 ADO Den Haag Eerste Divisie
Nov 16, 2022 ADO Den Haag 0 - 1 Roda Eerste Divisie
Jan 21, 2022 Roda 5 - 0 ADO Den Haag Eerste Divisie
Sep 24, 2021 ADO Den Haag 2 - 0 Roda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Roda to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-3 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ADO Den Haag Power 0
Roda Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

ADO Den Haag Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Roda Position
Home Win Rate: 69%
Away Win Rate: 54%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.