AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Mar 08, 2024

Roda

Home
VS
19:00

ADO Den Haag

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Roda Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
ADO Den Haag Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.71 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Roda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
ADO Den Haag Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Roda Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Roda vs Emmen 3-2
Feb 09 Roda vs Dordrecht 4-1
Feb 05 Roda vs Jong AZ 1-0
Jan 26 Roda vs Utrecht 0-0
Dec 15 Roda vs Emmen 0-1
Dec 01 Roda vs Dordrecht 2-0
Nov 26 Roda vs MVV Maast… 1-0
Oct 27 Roda vs Jong AZ 2-1
Oct 14 Roda vs VVV Venlo 1-1
Oct 06 Roda vs Jong AZ 3-1
ADO Den Haag Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 ADO Den H… vs Willem II 2-1
Feb 06 ADO Den H… vs Nijmegen 3-0
Feb 02 ADO Den H… vs FC OSS 1-3
Jan 26 ADO Den H… vs Emmen 3-0
Jan 22 ADO Den H… vs VVV Venlo 2-1
Jan 16 ADO Den H… vs Excelsior… 1-2
Jan 12 ADO Den H… vs De Graafs… 5-3
Dec 23 ADO Den H… vs Jong AZ 1-2
Dec 20 ADO Den H… vs Sparta Ro… 2-0
Dec 08 ADO Den H… vs Willem II 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Roda in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • ADO Den Haag struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 18, 2023 ADO Den Haag 0 - 3 Roda Eerste Divisie
Apr 07, 2023 Roda 1 - 1 ADO Den Haag Eerste Divisie
Nov 16, 2022 ADO Den Haag 0 - 1 Roda Eerste Divisie
Jan 21, 2022 Roda 5 - 0 ADO Den Haag Eerste Divisie
Sep 24, 2021 ADO Den Haag 2 - 0 Roda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

PRO: Roda to win (68% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 3-0 68% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 31 vs 0
Roda Power 31
ADO Den Haag Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Roda Position

-3

Position Gap

1

ADO Den Haag Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 73%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.