AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Mar 14, 2025

Emmen

Home
VS
19:00

Jong Utrecht

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Emmen Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Jong Utrecht Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.12 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Emmen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Jong Utrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Emmen Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Emmen vs Jong AZ 0-2
Mar 07 Emmen vs ADO Den H… 0-1
Feb 24 Emmen vs Helmond S… 1-2
Feb 21 Emmen vs FC OSS 0-4
Dec 20 Emmen vs Den Bosch 0-3
Dec 13 Emmen vs Jong AZ 1-1
Nov 29 Emmen vs ADO Den H… 2-1
Nov 08 Emmen vs Jong AZ 4-2
Oct 31 Emmen vs Koninklij… 1-0
Oct 22 Emmen vs FC OSS 2-0
Jong Utrecht Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Jong Utre… vs Emmen 1-2
Mar 15 Jong Utre… vs Emmen 2-3
Sep 18 Jong Utre… vs Emmen 2-0
Mar 11 Jong Utre… vs Emmen 2-0
Oct 01 Jong Utre… vs Emmen 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Emmen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Jong Utrecht struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2024 Jong Utrecht 1 - 2 Emmen Eerste Divisie
Mar 15, 2024 Jong Utrecht 2 - 3 Emmen Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2023 Emmen 2 - 0 Jong Utrecht Eerste Divisie
Mar 11, 2022 Emmen 2 - 0 Jong Utrecht Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 Jong Utrecht 0 - 1 Emmen Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Emmen Power 0
Jong Utrecht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Emmen Position

-3

Position Gap

11

Jong Utrecht Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.