AI Match Insights

Challenger Pro League Aug 17, 2024

Waasland-Beveren

Home
VS
18:00

Lommel United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Waasland-Beveren Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Lommel United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.16 - 0.89
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Waasland-Beveren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Lommel United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Waasland-Beveren Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Waasland-… vs Lommel Un… 3-1
Apr 14 Waasland-… vs Beerschot… 2-0
Apr 05 Waasland-… vs RSC Ander… 2-1
Mar 31 Waasland-… vs Liège 5-1
Mar 15 Waasland-… vs Patro Eis… 0-1
Feb 10 Waasland-… vs Lierse Ke… 3-1
Jan 26 Waasland-… vs Francs Bo… 3-0
Dec 16 Waasland-… vs KRC Genk … 2-1
Dec 07 Waasland-… vs Union Sai… 0-2
Dec 02 Waasland-… vs RSC Ander… 0-2
Lommel United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 Lommel Un… vs Kortrijk 4-2
May 19 Lommel Un… vs Kortrijk 0-1
May 12 Lommel Un… vs Deinze 1-2
May 05 Lommel Un… vs Deinze 1-1
May 01 Lommel Un… vs Zulte War… 1-0
Apr 27 Lommel Un… vs Zulte War… 1-1
Apr 19 Lommel Un… vs Waasland-… 3-1
Apr 13 Lommel Un… vs Deinze 3-2
Apr 06 Lommel Un… vs Seraing U… 0-0
Mar 31 Lommel Un… vs Patro Eis… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Waasland-Beveren struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2024 Lommel United 3 - 1 Waasland-Beveren Challenger Pro…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Waasland-Beveren to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Waasland-Beveren Power 0
Lommel United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Waasland-Beveren Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Lommel United Position

Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.