AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Oct 25, 2024

Spezia

Home
VS
18:30

Bari

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Spezia Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bari Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 0.63 - 1.21
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Bari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Spezia Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Spezia vs Salernita… 0-2
Oct 05 Spezia vs Reggiana … 1-0
Sep 28 Spezia vs Sassuolo 0-0
Sep 22 Spezia vs Carrarese 4-2
Sep 14 Spezia vs Cremonese 1-1
Sep 01 Spezia vs Cosenza 2-1
Aug 28 Spezia vs Cosenza 0-0
Aug 24 Spezia vs Frosinone 2-1
Aug 24 Spezia vs Frosinone 2-1
Aug 17 Spezia vs Pisa 2-2
Bari Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Bari vs Catanzaro 1-1
Oct 18 Bari vs Catanzaro 1-1
Oct 06 Bari vs Cremonese 1-1
Sep 28 Bari vs Cosenza 1-1
Sep 22 Bari vs Frosinone 0-3
Sep 22 Bari vs Frosinone 0-3
Sep 14 Bari vs Mantova 2-0
Sep 14 Bari vs Mantova 2-0
Aug 31 Bari vs Sampdoria 0-0
Aug 27 Bari vs Sassuolo 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spezia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Bari 1 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Mar 03, 2024 Bari 1 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1 - 0 Bari Serie B
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1 - 0 Bari Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spezia to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spezia Power 30
Bari Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Spezia Position

+2

Position Gap

19

Bari Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.