AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Dec 15, 2023

Spezia

Home
VS
19:30

Bari

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Spezia Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Bari Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.77 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Bari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (38%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Spezia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Spezia vs Ascoli 1-2
Dec 02 Spezia vs Parma 0-1
Nov 24 Spezia vs Sampdoria 2-1
Nov 24 Spezia vs Sampdoria 2-1
Oct 23 Spezia vs Palermo 2-2
Aug 20 Spezia vs Sudtirol 3-3
Apr 22 Spezia vs Sampdoria 1-1
Sep 17 Spezia vs Sampdoria 2-1
Jan 23 Spezia vs Sampdoria 1-0
Oct 22 Spezia vs Sampdoria 2-1
Bari Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Bari vs Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 09 Bari vs Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 03 Bari vs Lecce 1-0
Nov 25 Bari vs Venezia 0-3
Sep 24 Bari vs Catanzaro 2-2
Aug 18 Bari vs Palermo 0-0
Jul 23 Bari vs Pescara 5-0
Jun 02 Bari vs Sudtirol 1-0
May 29 Bari vs Sudtirol 1-0
Apr 10 Bari vs Sudtirol 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spezia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spezia to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spezia Power 30
Bari Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Spezia Position

+2

Position Gap

19

Bari Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.