AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Apr 18, 2025

Al Shamal SC

Home
VS
15:30

Al Wakrah

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al Shamal SC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Al Wakrah Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 4.50 - 1.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.4 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Shamal SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Al Wakrah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Al Shamal SC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Al Shamal… vs Al-Rayyan 3-5
Mar 28 Al Shamal… vs Al Sailiy… 3-0
Mar 08 Al Shamal… vs Al-Arabi … 1-0
Feb 28 Al Shamal… vs Al Wahda … 1-1
Jan 12 Al Shamal… vs Al-Sadd SC 1-0
Dec 08 Al Shamal… vs Al Wakrah 0-3
Nov 22 Al Shamal… vs Al-Rayyan 1-2
Nov 16 Al Shamal… vs Al-Arabi … 3-0
Nov 11 Al Shamal… vs Al Wakrah 1-1
Oct 26 Al Shamal… vs Al Sailiy… 2-0
Al Wakrah Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Al Wakrah vs Al-Dhafra 1-1
Apr 04 Al Wakrah vs UMM Salal 0-1
Feb 07 Al Wakrah vs Al-Duhail 2-0
Jan 31 Al Wakrah vs Al Sailiy… 0-1
Jan 24 Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi … 4-3
Jan 11 Al Wakrah vs Al Ahli D… 6-3
Dec 13 Al Wakrah vs Al-Duhail 3-1
Dec 08 Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal… 0-3
Nov 22 Al Wakrah vs Al-Dhafra 3-1
Nov 15 Al Wakrah vs Al Ahli D… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Shamal SC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2024 Al Wakrah 0 - 3 Al Shamal SC Stars League
Nov 11, 2024 Al Shamal SC 1 - 1 Al Wakrah QSL Cup
Apr 16, 2024 Al Shamal SC 0 - 0 Al Wakrah Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Shamal SC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Shamal SC Power 0
Al Wakrah Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al Shamal SC Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Al Wakrah Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.