AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Oct 11, 2024

Pontypridd Town

Home
VS
18:30

Cwmbran Celtic

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Pontypridd Town Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Cwmbran Celtic Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.90 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pontypridd Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cwmbran Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Pontypridd Town Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Pontyprid… vs Newport C… 0-1
Sep 14 Pontyprid… vs Trethomas… 2-3
Aug 09 Pontyprid… vs Cambrian … 1-3
Aug 02 Pontyprid… vs Cardiff C… 3-1
Jul 26 Pontyprid… vs Afan Lido 3-2
Apr 21 Pontyprid… vs Aberystwy… 3-0
Apr 20 Pontyprid… vs Baglan Dr… 1-2
Apr 17 Pontyprid… vs Cambrian … 0-3
Apr 13 Pontyprid… vs Penybont 0-3
Apr 13 Pontyprid… vs Caerau (E… 3-1
Cwmbran Celtic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 Cwmbran C… vs Trethomas… 2-3
Apr 20 Cwmbran C… vs Goytre Un… 3-1
Apr 17 Cwmbran C… vs Trefelin 4-1
Mar 29 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 3-0
Mar 16 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 1-1
Aug 19 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 2-1
Aug 12 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 0-1
Apr 01 Cwmbran C… vs Ynyshir A… 1-0
Mar 11 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 1-2
Feb 11 Cwmbran C… vs Ynyshir A… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pontypridd Town struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 02, 2021 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Pontypridd Town FAW Championsh…
Aug 24, 2021 Pontypridd Town 3 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Aug 07, 2021 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Pontypridd Town League Cup
Dec 12, 2020 Pontypridd Town 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pontypridd Town to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pontypridd Town Power 0
Cwmbran Celtic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.