AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Nov 10, 2024

AS Kigali

Home
VS
16:00

Police

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
AS Kigali Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Police Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.66 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.4
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Police Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
AS Kigali Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 0-0
May 05 AS Kigali vs Kiyovu Sp… 4-2
Apr 27 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 1-0
Apr 15 AS Kigali vs APR 2-2
Feb 24 AS Kigali vs Police 0-1
Jan 27 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 0-1
Jan 13 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-0
Dec 09 AS Kigali vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-1
Dec 06 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 4-2
Nov 25 AS Kigali vs APR 1-1
Police Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Police vs Gorilla 0-0
Sep 18 Police vs Etincelles 0-0
Apr 26 Police vs Bugesera 1-2
Mar 30 Police vs Gorilla 2-0
Mar 10 Police vs Gasogi Un… 2-1
Feb 24 Police vs AS Kigali 0-1
Feb 04 Police vs Etincelles 1-1
Jan 21 Police vs APR 0-1
Dec 05 Police vs Bugesera 4-2
Nov 03 Police vs Gorilla 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2024 Police 0 - 1 AS Kigali National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AS Kigali Power 0
Police Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

AS Kigali Position

-11

Position Gap

3

Police Position
Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.