AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 3 Feb 08, 2025

Varzim

Home
VS
17:30

Amarante

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Varzim Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Amarante Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 3.61 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Varzim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Amarante Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Varzim Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Varzim vs São João … 4-1
Jan 18 Varzim vs Trofense 2-1
Jan 12 Varzim vs Sanjoanen… 1-2
Dec 15 Varzim vs Amarante 0-1
Dec 07 Varzim vs SC Braga 1-0
Nov 24 Varzim vs O Elvas 1-2
Nov 09 Varzim vs Fafe 2-0
Oct 26 Varzim vs São João … 2-0
Oct 20 Varzim vs Boavista 1-0
Oct 06 Varzim vs Trofense 3-2
Amarante Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Amarante vs Fafe 0-0
Jan 12 Amarante vs SC Braga 1-1
Dec 15 Amarante vs Varzim 0-1
Dec 01 Amarante vs São João … 2-0
Nov 22 Amarante vs Sporting … 6-0
Nov 10 Amarante vs Trofense 1-0
Nov 02 Amarante vs Sanjoanen… 1-0
Oct 06 Amarante vs Fafe 4-1
Sep 29 Amarante vs SC Braga 0-0
Sep 08 Amarante vs Fafe 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Varzim in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 15, 2024 Amarante 0 - 1 Varzim Liga 3
Aug 31, 2024 Varzim 1 - 3 Amarante Liga 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Varzim to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Varzim Power 0
Amarante Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Varzim Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Amarante Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.