AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 3 Dec 15, 2024

Amarante

Home
VS
15:00

Varzim

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Amarante Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Varzim Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.39 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Amarante Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Varzim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Amarante Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 Amarante vs São João … 2-0
Nov 22 Amarante vs Sporting … 6-0
Nov 10 Amarante vs Trofense 1-0
Nov 02 Amarante vs Sanjoanen… 1-0
Oct 06 Amarante vs Fafe 4-1
Sep 29 Amarante vs SC Braga 0-0
Sep 08 Amarante vs Fafe 1-4
Aug 31 Amarante vs Varzim 1-3
Aug 17 Amarante vs São João … 0-3
Aug 11 Amarante vs Trofense 1-0
Varzim Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Varzim vs SC Braga 1-0
Nov 24 Varzim vs O Elvas 1-2
Nov 09 Varzim vs Fafe 2-0
Oct 26 Varzim vs São João … 2-0
Oct 20 Varzim vs Boavista 1-0
Oct 06 Varzim vs Trofense 3-2
Sep 28 Varzim vs Sanjoanen… 3-0
Aug 31 Varzim vs Amarante 1-3
Aug 24 Varzim vs SC Braga 0-0
Aug 10 Varzim vs Fafe 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Varzim in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Amarante struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2024 Varzim 1 - 3 Amarante Liga 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Amarante to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Amarante Power 0
Varzim Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Amarante Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Varzim Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.