AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Mar 01, 2025

Club América

Home
VS
23:00

Toluca

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Club América Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Toluca Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.53 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Club América Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Club Amér… vs Necaxa 2-3
Jan 29 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 3-0
Jan 17 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 1-1
Dec 16 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 1-1
Dec 13 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 2-1
Nov 30 Club Amér… vs Toluca 0-2
Nov 28 Club Amér… vs Toluca 2-0
Nov 22 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Nov 10 Club Amér… vs Toluca 4-0
Nov 07 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-1
Toluca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 1-0
Jan 19 Toluca vs Monterrey 1-1
Nov 30 Toluca vs Club Amér… 0-2
Nov 28 Toluca vs Club Amér… 2-0
Nov 10 Toluca vs Club Amér… 4-0
Nov 07 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Oct 23 Toluca vs Puebla 5-0
Sep 23 Toluca vs Santos La… 2-0
Sep 01 Toluca vs Monterrey 1-2
May 12 Toluca vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2024 Toluca 0 - 2 Club América Liga MX
Nov 28, 2024 Club América 2 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Toluca 4 - 0 Club América Liga MX
Apr 14, 2024 Club América 5 - 1 Toluca Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club América Power 0
Toluca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Club América Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Toluca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.