AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Nov 30, 2024

Toluca

Home
VS
23:00

Club América

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Toluca Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Club América Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Toluca Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Toluca vs Club Amér… 2-0
Nov 10 Toluca vs Club Amér… 4-0
Nov 07 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Oct 23 Toluca vs Puebla 5-0
Sep 23 Toluca vs Santos La… 2-0
Sep 01 Toluca vs Monterrey 1-2
May 12 Toluca vs Guadalaja… 0-0
May 09 Toluca vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Apr 28 Toluca vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Apr 20 Toluca vs Atletico … 1-5
Club América Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Club Amér… vs Toluca 2-0
Nov 22 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Nov 10 Club Amér… vs Toluca 4-0
Nov 07 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-1
Oct 28 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 2-1
Oct 24 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Sep 22 Club Amér… vs Necaxa 1-1
Jul 06 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 2-1
May 27 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-0
May 24 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club AmĂ©rica in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Toluca struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 28, 2024 Club América 2 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Toluca 4 - 0 Club América Liga MX
Apr 14, 2024 Club América 5 - 1 Toluca Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toluca Power 0
Club América Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Toluca Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Club América Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.