AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue A Oct 30, 2024

Aigle Noir

Home
VS
13:00

Ngozi City

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Aigle Noir Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Ngozi City Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.13 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.6 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aigle Noir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Ngozi City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Aigle Noir Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Aigle Noir vs Vital'O 1-1
Aug 23 Aigle Noir vs Inter Star 1-0
Apr 04 Aigle Noir vs Musongati 1-0
Mar 09 Aigle Noir vs Vital'O 3-0
Mar 01 Aigle Noir vs Inter Star 1-0
Feb 25 Aigle Noir vs Kayanza U… 2-2
Jan 24 Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru 4-1
Dec 02 Aigle Noir vs Inter Star 0-0
Nov 19 Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru 1-1
Nov 01 Aigle Noir vs Vital'O 0-2
Ngozi City Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Ngozi City vs Vital'O 0-0
Sep 21 Ngozi City vs Flambeau … 2-1
Sep 13 Ngozi City vs Royal Vis… 1-1
Aug 30 Ngozi City vs Inter Star 3-2
Jun 23 Ngozi City vs Flambeau … 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aigle Noir in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aigle Noir to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aigle Noir Power 0
Ngozi City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Aigle Noir Position

+10

Position Gap

11

Ngozi City Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.