AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue A Sep 22, 2024

Bumamuru

Home
VS
13:00

Inter Star

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Bumamuru Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Inter Star Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.65 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bumamuru Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Inter Star Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Bumamuru Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Bumamuru vs Le Messag… 2-2
Aug 25 Bumamuru vs Olympic S… 1-1
Feb 21 Bumamuru vs Flambeau … 0-1
Feb 18 Bumamuru vs Le Messag… 2-0
Feb 04 Bumamuru vs Olympic S… 0-0
Jan 31 Bumamuru vs Inter Star 4-0
Jan 28 Bumamuru vs Vital'O 0-1
Jan 24 Bumamuru vs Aigle Noir 4-1
Nov 26 Bumamuru vs Inter Star 2-4
Nov 19 Bumamuru vs Aigle Noir 1-1
Inter Star Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Inter Star vs Ngozi City 3-2
Aug 23 Inter Star vs Aigle Noir 1-0
Mar 01 Inter Star vs Aigle Noir 1-0
Jan 31 Inter Star vs Bumamuru 4-0
Jan 24 Inter Star vs Vital'O 0-3
Dec 02 Inter Star vs Aigle Noir 0-0
Nov 26 Inter Star vs Bumamuru 2-4
Nov 18 Inter Star vs Vital'O 3-0
Apr 29 Inter Star vs Vital'O 0-2
Apr 11 Inter Star vs Aigle Noir 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Inter Star struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2024 Bumamuru 4 - 0 Inter Star Ligue A
Nov 26, 2023 Inter Star 2 - 4 Bumamuru Ligue A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bumamuru to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bumamuru Power 0
Inter Star Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Bumamuru Position

+10

Position Gap

13

Inter Star Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.