AI Match Insights

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Ligue A May 06, 2025

Musongati

Home
VS
13:00

Kayanza United

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Musongati Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Kayanza United Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.67 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musongati Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Kayanza United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Musongati Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Musongati vs Dynamik 0-3
Feb 16 Musongati vs Flambeau … 0-0
Jan 26 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 0-2
Nov 24 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 2-0
Nov 13 Musongati vs Flambeau … 1-2
Oct 27 Musongati vs Dynamik 0-0
Aug 25 Musongati vs Kayanza U… 0-3
Apr 04 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 1-0
Feb 25 Musongati vs Dynamik 1-1
Feb 18 Musongati vs Flambeau … 1-0
Kayanza United Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 0-2
Mar 01 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 5-1
Dec 05 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 4-2
Nov 06 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 0-2
Aug 25 Kayanza U… vs Musongati 0-3
Apr 04 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 4-1
Feb 25 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-2
Jan 24 Kayanza U… vs Musongati 0-2
Nov 19 Kayanza U… vs Musongati 2-0
Oct 07 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Musongati struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Kayanza United struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 25, 2024 Kayanza United 0 - 3 Musongati Ligue A
Jan 24, 2024 Kayanza United 0 - 2 Musongati Ligue A
Nov 19, 2023 Musongati 2 - 0 Kayanza United Ligue A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Musongati to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Musongati Power 0
Kayanza United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Musongati Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Kayanza United Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.