AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue A Aug 25, 2024

Kayanza United

Home
VS
13:00

Musongati

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Kayanza United Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Musongati Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kayanza United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Musongati Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Kayanza United Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 4-1
Feb 25 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-2
Jan 24 Kayanza U… vs Musongati 0-2
Nov 19 Kayanza U… vs Musongati 2-0
Oct 07 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-0
Sep 17 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 0-0
Feb 19 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-0
Jan 29 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-1
Nov 27 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 1-0
Oct 22 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-1
Musongati Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 1-0
Feb 25 Musongati vs Dynamik 1-1
Feb 18 Musongati vs Flambeau … 1-0
Jan 24 Musongati vs Kayanza U… 0-2
Nov 19 Musongati vs Kayanza U… 2-0
Oct 22 Musongati vs Flambeau … 0-0
Oct 18 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 0-1
Oct 07 Musongati vs Dynamik 2-0
May 20 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 3-1
Apr 22 Musongati vs Dynamik 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Musongati in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Kayanza United struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 24, 2024 Kayanza United 0 - 2 Musongati Ligue A
Nov 19, 2023 Musongati 2 - 0 Kayanza United Ligue A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kayanza United Power 0
Musongati Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Kayanza United Position

-6

Position Gap

4

Musongati Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.