AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue A Nov 19, 2023

Musongati

Home
VS
13:00

Kayanza United

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Musongati Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Kayanza United Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musongati Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Kayanza United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Musongati Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Musongati vs Flambeau … 0-0
Oct 18 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 0-1
Oct 07 Musongati vs Dynamik 2-0
May 20 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 3-1
Apr 22 Musongati vs Dynamik 3-2
Feb 12 Musongati vs Flambeau … 1-1
Nov 16 Musongati vs Flambeau … 2-2
Sep 11 Musongati vs Dynamik 0-0
Aug 14 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 0-0
Feb 06 Musongati vs Dynamik 2-0
Kayanza United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-0
Sep 17 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 0-0
Feb 19 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-0
Jan 29 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-1
Nov 27 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 1-0
Oct 22 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-1
May 07 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-1
Mar 13 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 0-1
Nov 27 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-1
Oct 24 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Musongati struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Musongati to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Musongati Power 0
Kayanza United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Musongati Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Kayanza United Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.