AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Apr 06, 2025

Aserri FC

Home
VS
21:00

Limón Black Star

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Aserri FC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Limón Black Star Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.31 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aserri FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Limón Black Star Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Aserri FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Aserri FC vs Cariari P… 2-1
Mar 25 Aserri FC vs Escorpion… 2-0
Mar 09 Aserri FC vs CS Uruguay 1-2
Feb 19 Aserri FC vs Cariari P… 3-1
Feb 09 Aserri FC vs Escorpion… 0-1
Feb 05 Aserri FC vs Futbol Co… 1-0
Jan 25 Aserri FC vs CS Uruguay 1-1
Oct 20 Aserri FC vs Cariari P… 2-1
Oct 06 Aserri FC vs Escorpion… 1-0
Oct 04 Aserri FC vs Futbol Co… 2-0
Limón Black Star Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 Limón Bla… vs CS Uruguay 3-2
Mar 30 Limón Bla… vs Turrialba… 1-3
Mar 23 Limón Bla… vs Guadalupe… 1-0
Mar 16 Limón Bla… vs Cariari P… 1-0
Mar 06 Limón Bla… vs Escorpion… 2-0
Mar 01 Limón Bla… vs Futbol Co… 1-0
Feb 21 Limón Bla… vs CS Uruguay 1-2
Feb 04 Limón Bla… vs Cariari P… 1-2
Jan 19 Limón Bla… vs Escorpion… 0-2
Nov 03 Limón Bla… vs Futbol Co… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Limón Black Star in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Aserri FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aserri FC to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 91
Aserri FC Power 0
Limón Black Star Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.