AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Virsliga Sep 27, 2024

BFC Daugavpils

Home
VS
15:00

Metta / LU

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
BFC Daugavpils Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Metta / LU Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 3%
xG: 4.50 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
BFC Daugavpils Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Metta / LU Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
BFC Daugavpils Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Jul 07 BFC Dauga… vs Metta / LU 3-2
May 16 BFC Dauga… vs Metta / LU 4-0
Apr 03 BFC Dauga… vs Metta / LU 0-1
Metta / LU Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 07 Metta / LU vs BFC Dauga… 3-2
May 16 Metta / LU vs BFC Dauga… 4-0
Apr 03 Metta / LU vs BFC Dauga… 0-1
Feb 14 Metta / LU vs Paide 6-2
Feb 18 Metta / LU vs Paide 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Metta / LU struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 07, 2024 Metta / LU 3 - 2 BFC Daugavpils Virsliga
May 16, 2024 BFC Daugavpils 4 - 0 Metta / LU Virsliga
Apr 03, 2024 Metta / LU 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils Virsliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: BFC Daugavpils to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
BFC Daugavpils Power 0
Metta / LU Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.