AI Match Insights

Ligue A Apr 06, 2025

Le Messager Ngozi

Home
VS
13:00

Dynamik

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Le Messager Ngozi Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Dynamik Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.97 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Le Messager Ngozi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Dynamik Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Le Messager Ngozi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Le Messag… vs Flambeau … 0-0
Jan 26 Le Messag… vs Ngozi City 1-1
Nov 24 Le Messag… vs Ngozi City 3-0
Nov 10 Le Messag… vs Flambeau … 1-0
Sep 27 Le Messag… vs Dynamik 1-2
Sep 01 Le Messag… vs Bumamuru 2-2
Apr 28 Le Messag… vs Flambeau … 3-0
Feb 18 Le Messag… vs Bumamuru 2-0
Jan 19 Le Messag… vs Dynamik 1-2
Nov 26 Le Messag… vs Dynamik 0-0
Dynamik Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Dynamik vs Musongati 0-3
Feb 22 Dynamik vs Rukinzo 0-2
Nov 11 Dynamik vs Rukinzo 3-2
Oct 27 Dynamik vs Musongati 0-0
Sep 27 Dynamik vs Le Messag… 1-2
Sep 22 Dynamik vs Olympic S… 0-0
May 04 Dynamik vs Olympic S… 4-1
Feb 25 Dynamik vs Musongati 1-1
Jan 23 Dynamik vs Rukinzo 3-3
Jan 19 Dynamik vs Le Messag… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dynamik struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2024 Dynamik 1 - 2 Le Messager Ngozi Ligue A
Jan 19, 2024 Dynamik 1 - 2 Le Messager Ngozi Ligue A
Nov 26, 2023 Le Messager Ngozi 0 - 0 Dynamik Ligue A
Jan 22, 2023 Dynamik 0 - 3 Le Messager Ngozi Ligue A
Dec 04, 2022 Le Messager Ngozi 2 - 1 Dynamik Ligue A
May 04, 2022 Le Messager Ngozi 0 - 0 Dynamik Ligue A
Nov 21, 2021 Dynamik 1 - 2 Le Messager Ngozi Ligue A
Jan 24, 2021 Dynamik 0 - 1 Le Messager Ngozi Ligue A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Le Messager Ngozi Power 0
Dynamik Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Le Messager Ngozi Position

+2

Position Gap

14

Dynamik Position

Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.