AI Match Insights
Ligue A Apr 06, 2025
Le Messager Ngozi
HomeVS
13:00
Dynamik
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Le Messager Ngozi Win
Draw
Dynamik Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
Combined: 50%
Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.97 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Le Messager Ngozi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Dynamik Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (11%)
0-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
Le Messager Ngozi Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23 | Le Messag… vs Flambeau … | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Le Messag… vs Ngozi City | 1-1 |
| Nov 24 | Le Messag… vs Ngozi City | 3-0 |
| Nov 10 | Le Messag… vs Flambeau … | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Le Messag… vs Dynamik | 1-2 |
| Sep 01 | Le Messag… vs Bumamuru | 2-2 |
| Apr 28 | Le Messag… vs Flambeau … | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Le Messag… vs Bumamuru | 2-0 |
| Jan 19 | Le Messag… vs Dynamik | 1-2 |
| Nov 26 | Le Messag… vs Dynamik | 0-0 |
Dynamik Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | Dynamik vs Musongati | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Dynamik vs Rukinzo | 0-2 |
| Nov 11 | Dynamik vs Rukinzo | 3-2 |
| Oct 27 | Dynamik vs Musongati | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Dynamik vs Le Messag… | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Dynamik vs Olympic S… | 0-0 |
| May 04 | Dynamik vs Olympic S… | 4-1 |
| Feb 25 | Dynamik vs Musongati | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Dynamik vs Rukinzo | 3-3 |
| Jan 19 | Dynamik vs Le Messag… | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Dynamik struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2024 | Dynamik | 1 - 2 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Dynamik | 1 - 2 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Le Messager Ngozi | 0 - 0 | Dynamik | Ligue A |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Dynamik | 0 - 3 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Dec 04, 2022 | Le Messager Ngozi | 2 - 1 | Dynamik | Ligue A |
| May 04, 2022 | Le Messager Ngozi | 0 - 0 | Dynamik | Ligue A |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Dynamik | 1 - 2 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Dynamik | 0 - 1 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Le Messager Ngozi Power
0
Dynamik Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
12
Le Messager Ngozi Position+2
Position Gap14
Dynamik Position
Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.