AI Match Insights

Ligue A Nov 26, 2023

Le Messager Ngozi

Home
VS
13:00

Dynamik

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Le Messager Ngozi Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Dynamik Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.64 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Le Messager Ngozi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Dynamik Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Le Messager Ngozi Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Le Messag… vs Bumamuru 1-1
Aug 27 Le Messag… vs Flambeau … 3-0
Apr 09 Le Messag… vs Flambeau … 0-1
Feb 26 Le Messag… vs Bumamuru 0-1
Jan 22 Le Messag… vs Dynamik 0-3
Dec 04 Le Messag… vs Dynamik 2-1
Oct 16 Le Messag… vs Bumamuru 1-0
Sep 25 Le Messag… vs Flambeau … 3-1
May 14 Le Messag… vs Bumamuru 1-2
May 04 Le Messag… vs Dynamik 0-0
Dynamik Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 17 Dynamik vs Rukinzo 2-4
Oct 07 Dynamik vs Musongati 2-0
Aug 18 Dynamik vs Olympic S… 1-1
Apr 22 Dynamik vs Musongati 3-2
Apr 12 Dynamik vs Olympic S… 0-0
Mar 04 Dynamik vs Rukinzo 0-1
Jan 22 Dynamik vs Le Messag… 0-3
Dec 04 Dynamik vs Le Messag… 2-1
Oct 09 Dynamik vs Rukinzo 1-0
Sep 17 Dynamik vs Olympic S… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 22, 2023 Dynamik 0 - 3 Le Messager Ngozi Ligue A
Dec 04, 2022 Le Messager Ngozi 2 - 1 Dynamik Ligue A
May 04, 2022 Le Messager Ngozi 0 - 0 Dynamik Ligue A
Nov 21, 2021 Dynamik 1 - 2 Le Messager Ngozi Ligue A
Jan 24, 2021 Dynamik 0 - 1 Le Messager Ngozi Ligue A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Le Messager Ngozi Power 0
Dynamik Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Le Messager Ngozi Position

+2

Position Gap

14

Dynamik Position

Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.