AI Match Insights

J1 League May 17, 2025

Vissel Kobe

Home
VS
05:00

Gamba Osaka

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Vissel Kobe Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Gamba Osaka Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.64 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vissel Kobe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Gamba Osaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Vissel Kobe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Vissel Ko… vs FC Tokyo 1-0
May 06 Vissel Ko… vs Cerezo Os… 1-3
May 03 Vissel Ko… vs Fagiano O… 2-0
Apr 20 Vissel Ko… vs Machida Z… 1-0
Apr 16 Vissel Ko… vs Kawasaki … 2-1
Apr 12 Vissel Ko… vs Tokyo Ver… 0-1
Apr 06 Vissel Ko… vs Albirex N… 0-1
Feb 26 Vissel Ko… vs Kyoto San… 1-1
Feb 18 Vissel Ko… vs Shanghai … 4-2
Dec 08 Vissel Ko… vs Shonan Be… 3-0
Gamba Osaka Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Gamba Osa… vs Sanfrecce… 0-1
May 06 Gamba Osa… vs Urawa 0-1
May 03 Gamba Osa… vs Shonan Be… 4-0
Apr 29 Gamba Osa… vs Kyoto San… 2-1
Apr 25 Gamba Osa… vs FC Tokyo 3-0
Apr 20 Gamba Osa… vs Yokohama … 1-1
Apr 16 Gamba Osa… vs Mito Holl… 0-1
Apr 12 Gamba Osa… vs Nagoya Gr… 2-0
Apr 06 Gamba Osa… vs Kashiwa R… 1-0
Mar 20 Gamba Osa… vs Kochi Uni… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vissel Kobe in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Gamba Osaka in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2024 Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe Emperor’s Cup
Aug 17, 2024 Vissel Kobe 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka J1 League
Jun 22, 2024 Gamba Osaka 2 - 1 Vissel Kobe J1 League
Dec 03, 2023 Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vissel Kobe to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vissel Kobe Power 0
Gamba Osaka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.