AI Match Insights
USL Championship Mar 09, 2025
Phoenix Rising
HomeVS
02:00
FC UFA
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Phoenix Rising Win
Draw
FC UFA Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.73 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Phoenix Rising Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC UFA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (39%)
1-0 (29%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
93%
Phoenix Rising Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 04 | Phoenix R… vs New Mexic… | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | Phoenix R… vs Louisvill… | 4-1 |
| Oct 20 | Phoenix R… vs Memphis 9… | 0-1 |
| Oct 13 | Phoenix R… vs Oakland R… | 0-1 |
| Sep 07 | Phoenix R… vs FC UFA | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Phoenix R… vs Seattle S… | 2-1 |
| May 08 | Phoenix R… vs North Car… | 1-2 |
| Apr 06 | Phoenix R… vs FC UFA | 3-3 |
| Nov 13 | Phoenix R… vs Charlesto… | 1-1 |
FC UFA Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 02 | FC UFA vs Chayka | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | FC UFA vs Monterrey | 2-1 |
| Oct 20 | FC UFA vs Enisey | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | FC UFA vs Alloa Ath… | 1-2 |
| Oct 15 | FC UFA vs Chernomor… | 0-1 |
| Oct 13 | FC UFA vs New Mexic… | 1-1 |
| Sep 29 | FC UFA vs Arsenal | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | FC UFA vs Chayka | 0-1 |
| Sep 07 | FC UFA vs Phoenix R… | 1-0 |
| May 22 | FC UFA vs Sporting … | 4-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Phoenix Rising struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- FC UFA struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 07, 2024 | Phoenix Rising | 1 - 0 | FC UFA | USL Championsh… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | FC UFA | 3 - 3 | Phoenix Rising | USL Championsh… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Phoenix Rising to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Phoenix Rising Power
0
FC UFA Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.