AI Match Insights

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Serie A Dec 07, 2025

Lazio

Home
VS
17:00

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Bologna Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.75 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Lazio Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Lazio vs AC Milan 1-0
Nov 29 Lazio vs AC Milan 1-0
Nov 23 Lazio vs Lecce 2-0
Nov 09 Lazio vs Inter 2-0
Nov 03 Lazio vs Cagliari 2-0
Oct 30 Lazio vs Pisa 0-0
Oct 26 Lazio vs Juventus 1-0
Oct 19 Lazio vs Atalanta 0-0
Oct 04 Lazio vs Torino 3-3
Sep 29 Lazio vs Genoa 0-3
Bologna Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Bologna vs Parma 2-1
Dec 01 Bologna vs Cremonese 1-3
Nov 27 Bologna vs RB Salzbu… 4-1
Nov 22 Bologna vs Udinese 0-3
Nov 09 Bologna vs Napoli 2-0
Nov 06 Bologna vs Brann 0-0
Nov 02 Bologna vs Parma 1-3
Oct 29 Bologna vs Torino 0-0
Oct 26 Bologna vs Fiorentina 2-2
Oct 23 Bologna vs FCSB 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bologna in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Bologna 5 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Nov 24, 2024 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Nov 24, 2024 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Pro League
Feb 18, 2024 Lazio 1 - 2 Bologna Pro League
Feb 18, 2024 Lazio 1 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Nov 03, 2023 Bologna 1 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Mar 11, 2023 Bologna 0 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Jan 19, 2023 Lazio 1 - 0 Bologna Coppa Italia
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Lazio Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Bologna Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.