AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Dec 07, 2025

PAOK

Home
VS
17:30

Aris Thessaloniki

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
PAOK Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Aris Thessaloniki Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.38 - 1.08
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.1
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PAOK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Aris Thessaloniki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
PAOK Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 PAOK vs Asteras T… 1-1
Dec 03 PAOK vs Aris Thes… 1-1
Nov 30 PAOK vs Levadiakos 2-3
Nov 29 PAOK vs PAS Giann… 1-0
Nov 27 PAOK vs Brann 1-1
Nov 23 PAOK vs Kifisia 3-0
Nov 22 PAOK vs Anagennis… 2-1
Nov 15 PAOK vs Niki Volos 1-6
Nov 09 PAOK vs Panathina… 2-1
Nov 09 PAOK vs Kampaniak… 0-0
Aris Thessaloniki Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Aris Thes… vs PAOK 1-1
Nov 29 Aris Thes… vs Larisa 2-1
Nov 23 Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… 1-0
Nov 09 Aris Thes… vs Asteras T… 0-0
Nov 01 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 2-1
Oct 29 Aris Thes… vs Egaleo 1-3
Oct 26 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 1-1
Oct 19 Aris Thes… vs Panathina… 1-1
Oct 04 Aris Thes… vs OFI Crete 3-0
Sep 27 Aris Thes… vs Panserrai… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2025 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 1 PAOK Cup
Jan 19, 2025 Aris Thessaloniki 0 - 0 PAOK Super League 1
Sep 29, 2024 PAOK 0 - 1 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
May 19, 2024 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 2 PAOK Super League 1
Mar 10, 2024 PAOK 0 - 1 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Jan 07, 2024 Aris Thessaloniki 2 - 1 PAOK Super League 1
Sep 17, 2023 PAOK 0 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Apr 30, 2023 PAOK 3 - 2 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Mar 19, 2023 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 2 PAOK Super League 1
Jan 04, 2023 PAOK 1 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: PAOK to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PAOK Power 0
Aris Thessaloniki Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

PAOK Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Aris Thessaloniki Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.