AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Dec 08, 2025

Monza

Home
VS
14:00

Sudtirol

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Monza Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Sudtirol Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.93 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Sudtirol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Monza Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Monza vs Juve Stab… 2-2
Nov 23 Monza vs Cesena 1-0
Nov 09 Monza vs Pescara 0-2
Nov 02 Monza vs Spezia 1-0
Oct 28 Monza vs Palermo 0-3
Oct 25 Monza vs Reggiana … 3-1
Oct 18 Monza vs Frosinone 0-1
Oct 04 Monza vs Catanzaro 2-1
Oct 01 Monza vs Empoli 1-1
Sep 27 Monza vs Padova 0-1
Sudtirol Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Sudtirol vs Avellino 0-1
Nov 23 Sudtirol vs Modena 0-0
Nov 08 Sudtirol vs Carrarese 1-1
Nov 01 Sudtirol vs Padova 1-1
Oct 29 Sudtirol vs Venezia 3-0
Oct 25 Sudtirol vs Cesena 0-1
Oct 18 Sudtirol vs Mantova 1-1
Oct 05 Sudtirol vs Empoli 1-2
Oct 01 Sudtirol vs Pescara 1-1
Sep 27 Sudtirol vs Reggiana … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monza in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2024 Monza 0 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Aug 17, 2024 Sudtirol 2 - 1 Monza Pro League
Aug 09, 2024 Monza 0 - 0 Sudtirol Coppa Italia
Apr 27, 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sudtirol Serie B
Final Verdict

PRO: Monza to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monza Power 43
Sudtirol Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Monza Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Sudtirol Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.