AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Dec 08, 2025

Mantova

Home
VS
14:00

Reggiana 1919

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Mantova Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Reggiana 1919 Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 4.43 - 1.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 1.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mantova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Reggiana 1919 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Mantova Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Mantova vs Venezia 3-0
Nov 23 Mantova vs Spezia 4-1
Nov 14 Mantova vs Parma 2-1
Nov 08 Mantova vs Padova 1-0
Nov 02 Mantova vs Sampdoria 0-1
Oct 29 Mantova vs Catanzaro 1-3
Oct 26 Mantova vs Bari 1-0
Oct 18 Mantova vs Sudtirol 1-1
Oct 04 Mantova vs Avellino 0-0
Sep 30 Mantova vs Juve Stab… 2-1
Reggiana 1919 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Reggiana … vs Frosinone 0-1
Nov 22 Reggiana … vs Carrarese 0-0
Nov 08 Reggiana … vs Virtus En… 0-0
Nov 01 Reggiana … vs Avellino 4-3
Oct 28 Reggiana … vs Modena 1-0
Oct 25 Reggiana … vs Monza 3-1
Oct 18 Reggiana … vs Bari 3-1
Oct 04 Reggiana … vs Cesena 1-2
Sep 30 Reggiana … vs Spezia 1-1
Sep 27 Reggiana … vs Sudtirol 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mantova in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2024 Mantova 0 - 2 Reggiana 1919 Pro League
Dec 29, 2024 Mantova 0 - 2 Reggiana 1919 Serie B
Aug 18, 2024 Reggiana 1919 2 - 2 Mantova Pro League
Aug 18, 2024 Reggiana 1919 2 - 2 Mantova Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mantova Power 28
Reggiana 1919 Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Mantova Position

-3

Position Gap

15

Reggiana 1919 Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.