AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Dec 07, 2025

Empoli

Home
VS
16:15

Palermo

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Empoli Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Palermo Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.11 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Empoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Palermo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Empoli Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Empoli vs Bari 5-0
Nov 22 Empoli vs Avellino 0-3
Nov 08 Empoli vs Catanzaro 1-0
Nov 01 Empoli vs Virtus En… 1-0
Oct 28 Empoli vs Sampdoria 1-1
Oct 24 Empoli vs Modena 2-1
Oct 19 Empoli vs Venezia 1-1
Oct 05 Empoli vs Sudtirol 1-2
Oct 01 Empoli vs Monza 1-1
Sep 28 Empoli vs Carrarese 2-2
Palermo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Palermo vs Carrarese 5-0
Nov 22 Palermo vs Virtus En… 1-1
Nov 08 Palermo vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Nov 01 Palermo vs Pescara 5-0
Oct 28 Palermo vs Monza 0-3
Oct 25 Palermo vs Catanzaro 1-0
Oct 19 Palermo vs Modena 1-1
Oct 04 Palermo vs Spezia 1-2
Sep 30 Palermo vs Venezia 0-0
Sep 27 Palermo vs Cesena 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Empoli in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Empoli Power 34
Palermo Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Empoli Position

-7

Position Gap

4

Palermo Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.