AI Match Insights

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FKF Premier League Jan 14, 2026

Gor Mahia

Home
VS
13:00

Murang'a SEAL

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Gor Mahia Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Murang'a SEAL Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 0.75 - 1.77
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gor Mahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 0-2 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Gor Mahia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Gor Mahia vs Shabana 0-0
Jan 06 Gor Mahia vs Kariobang… 1-4
Dec 21 Gor Mahia vs Nairobi U… 1-1
Dec 17 Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz 1-0
Dec 12 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 1-1
Dec 07 Gor Mahia vs AFC Leopa… 0-1
Nov 25 Gor Mahia vs APS Bomet 1-4
Nov 22 Gor Mahia vs Tusker 1-0
Nov 09 Gor Mahia vs Police 0-2
Nov 02 Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi St… 1-1
Murang'a SEAL Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Murang'a … vs Mathare U… 0-2
Dec 22 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 1-3
Dec 18 Murang'a … vs Police 1-0
Dec 12 Murang'a … vs Nairobi U… 1-1
Nov 30 Murang'a … vs Kariobang… 0-0
Nov 23 Murang'a … vs Shabana 1-1
Nov 16 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 0-0
Nov 09 Murang'a … vs Homeboyz 1-1
Nov 02 Murang'a … vs KCB 2-1
Oct 30 Murang'a … vs Posta Ran… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Murang'a SEAL in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 25, 2025 Gor Mahia 2 - 2 Murang'a SEAL Shield Cup
May 18, 2025 Murang'a SEAL 0 - 0 Gor Mahia FKF Premier Le…
Nov 02, 2024 Gor Mahia 2 - 2 Murang'a SEAL FKF Premier Le…
May 04, 2024 Murang'a SEAL 1 - 3 Gor Mahia FKF Premier Le…
Nov 11, 2023 Gor Mahia 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gor Mahia to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gor Mahia Power 0
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Gor Mahia Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Murang'a SEAL Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.