AI Match Insights
FAI Cup Sep 12, 2025
Derry City
HomeVS
18:45
Sligo Rovers
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Derry City Win
Draw
Sligo Rovers Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.06 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Sligo Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%)
0-0 (20%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
Under 2.5 Goals
79%
Derry City Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 05 | Derry City vs Cobh Ramb… | 1-1 |
| Aug 29 | Derry City vs St Patric… | 2-2 |
| Aug 29 | Derry City vs Dundalk | 3-3 |
| Aug 22 | Derry City vs Galaxy | 1-2 |
| Aug 22 | Derry City vs Longford … | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Derry City vs Drogheda … | 1-1 |
| Aug 15 | Derry City vs Cobh Ramb… | 2-0 |
| Aug 08 | Derry City vs Cork City | 0-0 |
| Aug 08 | Derry City vs Finn Harps | 0-1 |
| Aug 04 | Derry City vs Treaty Un… | 1-1 |
Sligo Rovers Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30 | Sligo Rov… vs Bohemians… | 0-0 |
| Aug 22 | Sligo Rov… vs Waterford | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Sligo Rov… vs Bohemians… | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Sligo Rov… vs St Patric… | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Sligo Rov… vs Shelbourne | 0-2 |
| Jul 25 | Sligo Rov… vs Cork City | 2-3 |
| Jul 18 | Sligo Rov… vs Dundalk | 0-2 |
| Jul 12 | Sligo Rov… vs Derry City | 2-0 |
| Jul 05 | Sligo Rov… vs Shamrock … | 2-2 |
| Jun 27 | Sligo Rov… vs Bohemians… | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 0 | Derry City | Premier Divisi… |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Derry City | 3 - 0 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Divisi… |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 0 - 1 | Derry City | Premier Divisi… |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 3 | Derry City | Friendlies Clu… |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Derry City | 1 - 1 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Divisi… |
| Jul 04, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 1 | Derry City | Premier Divisi… |
| May 24, 2024 | Derry City | 2 - 2 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Divisi… |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 0 - 0 | Derry City | Premier Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Derry City to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Derry City Power
0
Sligo Rovers Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.