AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Women's Championship Dec 08, 2025

Newcastle United Women

Home
VS
19:30

Southampton Women

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Newcastle United Women Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Southampton Women Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.04 - 2.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 2.1
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Southampton Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Newcastle United Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Newcastle… vs Everton W… 1-3
Nov 16 Newcastle… vs Sunderlan… 3-1
Nov 09 Newcastle… vs Durham Wo… 1-1
Nov 02 Newcastle… vs Ipswich T… 1-4
Oct 19 Newcastle… vs Mancheste… 3-3
Oct 12 Newcastle… vs Bristol C… 2-2
Oct 05 Newcastle… vs Crystal P… 2-2
Sep 28 Newcastle… vs Charlton … 0-1
Sep 24 Newcastle… vs Nottingha… 2-1
Sep 21 Newcastle… vs Birmingha… 4-2
Southampton Women Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Southampt… vs Charlton … 1-2
Nov 16 Southampt… vs Durham Wo… 1-1
Nov 09 Southampt… vs Charlton … 2-1
Nov 02 Southampt… vs Nottingha… 2-3
Oct 19 Southampt… vs Brighton … 3-0
Oct 12 Southampt… vs Portsmout… 2-5
Oct 08 Southampt… vs Portsmout… 1-0
Oct 05 Southampt… vs Birmingha… 1-2
Sep 28 Southampt… vs Sunderlan… 1-1
Sep 21 Southampt… vs Bristol C… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Southampton Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2025 Southampton Women 2 - 2 Newcastle United Wo… Women's Champi…
Nov 17, 2024 Newcastle United Wo… 1 - 1 Southampton Women Women's Champi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle United Women Power 38
Southampton Women Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Newcastle United Women Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Southampton Women Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.