AI Match Insights
Challenge League Dec 07, 2025
Yverdon Sport
HomeVS
13:00
FC Aarau
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Yverdon Sport Win
Draw
FC Aarau Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 3.35 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
Yverdon Sport Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 03 | Yverdon S… vs Lausanne | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Yverdon S… vs Étoile Ca… | 2-0 |
| Nov 21 | Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… | 2-4 |
| Nov 07 | Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… | 2-2 |
| Oct 31 | Yverdon S… vs FC Vaduz | 3-4 |
| Oct 24 | Yverdon S… vs Stade Nyo… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Yverdon S… vs Bellinzona | 2-0 |
| Oct 03 | Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau | 1-2 |
| Sep 28 | Yverdon S… vs Stade Nyo… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Yverdon S… vs Servette … | 1-0 |
FC Aarau Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 04 | FC Aarau vs FC Sion | 1-3 |
| Nov 28 | FC Aarau vs Neuchâtel… | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | FC Aarau vs Stade Nyo… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | FC Aarau vs Bellinzona | 5-1 |
| Nov 01 | FC Aarau vs Rapperswil | 2-1 |
| Oct 24 | FC Aarau vs FC WIL 19… | 2-0 |
| Oct 17 | FC Aarau vs Stade Lau… | 1-2 |
| Oct 03 | FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… | 1-2 |
| Sep 26 | FC Aarau vs Étoile Ca… | 1-3 |
| Sep 20 | FC Aarau vs BSC Young… | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Yverdon Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2025 | FC Aarau | 1 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| May 23, 2023 | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
| Feb 10, 2023 | FC Aarau | 1 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Nov 04, 2022 | FC Aarau | 3 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Yverdon Sport | 2 - 2 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
| May 06, 2022 | Yverdon Sport | 0 - 4 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
| Mar 19, 2022 | FC Aarau | 0 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Nov 06, 2021 | FC Aarau | 1 - 0 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Yverdon Sport to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Yverdon Sport Power
0
FC Aarau Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Yverdon Sport Position-1
Position Gap2
FC Aarau Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.