AI Match Insights

Azadegan League Sep 18, 2025

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Home
VS
15:30

Pars Jonoubi JAM

Away
AI Predictions 50.0% Confidence
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Win
50.0%
Draw
24.0%
Pars Jonoubi JAM Win
26.0%
Home Win (50% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.62 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Pars Jonoubi JAM Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 11 Shenavars… vs Mes Kerman 1-0
Sep 04 Shenavars… vs Shahrdari… 1-0
Aug 29 Shenavars… vs Fard Albo… 1-0
Feb 08 Shenavars… vs Mes Soong… 3-1
Pars Jonoubi JAM Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 11 Pars Jono… vs Mes Soong… 1-1
Sep 03 Pars Jono… vs Nassaji M… 0-2
Aug 28 Pars Jono… vs Mes Shahr… 2-1
May 18 Pars Jono… vs Mes Soong… 2-0
May 12 Pars Jono… vs Be'sat Ke… 1-1
Apr 16 Pars Jono… vs Mes Kerman 0-1
Apr 11 Pars Jono… vs Saipa 0-1
Feb 25 Pars Jono… vs Damash Gi… 2-1
Feb 13 Pars Jono… vs Mes Shahr… 0-2
Jan 30 Pars Jono… vs Niroye Za… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Power 0
Pars Jonoubi JAM Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Position

-10

Position Gap

5

Pars Jonoubi JAM Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.