AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azadegan League Sep 17, 2025

Mes Soongoun

Home
VS
14:00

Fard Alborz

Away
AI Predictions 49.7% Confidence
Mes Soongoun Win
49.7%
Draw
24.1%
Fard Alborz Win
26.3%
Home Win (50% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.08 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mes Soongoun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Fard Alborz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (28%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Mes Soongoun Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 11 Mes Soong… vs Pars Jono… 1-1
Sep 04 Mes Soong… vs Ario Esla… 2-1
Aug 28 Mes Soong… vs Havadar 0-3
May 18 Mes Soong… vs Pars Jono… 2-0
May 12 Mes Soong… vs Naft Gach… 2-0
May 06 Mes Soong… vs Damash Gi… 1-0
Apr 22 Mes Soong… vs Mes Shahr… 2-2
Apr 11 Mes Soong… vs Shahrdari… 0-0
Feb 13 Mes Soong… vs Ario Esla… 1-0
Jan 03 Mes Soong… vs Pars Jono… 1-0
Fard Alborz Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 Fard Albo… vs Mes Shahr… 0-1
Sep 04 Fard Albo… vs Naft Gach… 0-0
Aug 29 Fard Albo… vs Shenavars… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mes Soongoun struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mes Soongoun Power 0
Fard Alborz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Mes Soongoun Position

-8

Position Gap

9

Fard Alborz Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.