AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azadegan League Sep 17, 2025

Mes Shahr-e Babak

Home
VS
14:00

Ario Eslamshahr

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Mes Shahr-e Babak Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Ario Eslamshahr Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.21 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mes Shahr-e Babak Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Ario Eslamshahr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Mes Shahr-e Babak Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 Mes Shahr… vs Fard Albo… 0-1
Sep 03 Mes Shahr… vs Havadar 0-0
Aug 28 Mes Shahr… vs Pars Jono… 2-1
May 18 Mes Shahr… vs Niroye Za… 4-1
May 06 Mes Shahr… vs Be'sat Ke… 1-1
Apr 22 Mes Shahr… vs Mes Soong… 2-2
Feb 26 Mes Shahr… vs Naft Gach… 0-1
Feb 13 Mes Shahr… vs Pars Jono… 0-2
Jan 03 Mes Shahr… vs Niroye Za… 0-0
Dec 20 Mes Shahr… vs Be'sat Ke… 0-1
Ario Eslamshahr Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 Ario Esla… vs Havadar 2-0
Sep 04 Ario Esla… vs Mes Soong… 2-1
Aug 29 Ario Esla… vs Naft Gach… 0-0
Apr 16 Ario Esla… vs Naft Gach… 1-1
Mar 11 Ario Esla… vs Damash Gi… 1-0
Feb 19 Ario Esla… vs Be'sat Ke… 0-0
Feb 13 Ario Esla… vs Mes Soong… 1-0
Jan 23 Ario Esla… vs Naft Band… 0-1
Nov 30 Ario Esla… vs Naft Gach… 0-1
Oct 23 Ario Esla… vs Damash Gi… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mes Shahr-e Babak in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mes Shahr-e Babak to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mes Shahr-e Babak Power 0
Ario Eslamshahr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mes Shahr-e Babak Position

+8

Position Gap

10

Ario Eslamshahr Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.