AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Aug 10, 2025

FC Tokyo

Home
VS
10:00

Kashima

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
FC Tokyo Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Kashima Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.35 - 1.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.4
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Tokyo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Kashima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
FC Tokyo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 19 FC Tokyo vs Urawa 3-2
Jul 05 FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa R… 1-0
Jun 28 FC Tokyo vs Yokohama … 2-1
Jun 25 FC Tokyo vs Yokohama … 0-3
Jun 22 FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osa… 2-0
Jun 14 FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Os… 2-2
May 31 FC Tokyo vs Kyoto San… 3-0
May 25 FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce… 0-3
May 21 FC Tokyo vs Shonan Be… 1-0
May 17 FC Tokyo vs Urawa 3-2
Kashima Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Kashima vs Thespakus… 2-3
Jul 26 Kashima vs Kochi Uni… 1-0
Jul 21 Kashima vs Osaka 2-1
Jul 20 Kashima vs Kashiwa R… 3-2
Jul 20 Kashima vs FC Ryukyu 3-3
Jul 12 Kashima vs Azul Clar… 0-0
Jul 12 Kashima vs Sagamihara 0-1
Jul 05 Kashima vs Kawasaki … 2-1
Jul 05 Kashima vs Tochigi SC 1-0
Jul 05 Kashima vs Kanazawa 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Tokyo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Kashima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 01, 2025 Kashima 2 - 0 FC Tokyo J1 League
Jul 20, 2024 Kashima 2 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
Apr 07, 2024 FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Kashima J1 League
Jul 16, 2023 FC Tokyo 1 - 3 Kashima J1 League
May 20, 2023 Kashima 1 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
Oct 01, 2022 Kashima 0 - 1 FC Tokyo J1 League
May 29, 2022 FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Kashima J1 League
Oct 23, 2021 FC Tokyo 1 - 2 Kashima J1 League
May 09, 2021 Kashima 3 - 0 FC Tokyo J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Tokyo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Tokyo Power 0
Kashima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.