AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Jul 05, 2025

Cerezo Osaka

Home
VS
10:00

Gamba Osaka

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Cerezo Osaka Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Gamba Osaka Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Cerezo Osaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Gamba Osaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Cerezo Osaka Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 21 Cerezo Os… vs Tokyo Ver… 2-1
Jun 14 Cerezo Os… vs FC Tokyo 2-2
Jun 08 Cerezo Os… vs Yokohama … 4-0
Jun 04 Cerezo Os… vs Yokohama … 4-1
Jun 01 Cerezo Os… vs Shimizu S… 4-2
May 28 Cerezo Os… vs Urawa 0-0
May 24 Cerezo Os… vs Avispa Fu… 2-0
May 21 Cerezo Os… vs Kyoto San… 1-4
May 18 Cerezo Os… vs Kawasaki … 2-0
May 11 Cerezo Os… vs Yokohama … 1-0
Gamba Osaka Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 28 Gamba Osa… vs Kyoto San… 3-1
Jun 22 Gamba Osa… vs FC Tokyo 2-0
Jun 15 Gamba Osa… vs Shimizu S… 0-0
May 31 Gamba Osa… vs Kashima 0-1
May 25 Gamba Osa… vs Kawasaki … 2-2
May 21 Gamba Osa… vs Júbilo Iw… 2-1
May 17 Gamba Osa… vs Vissel Ko… 3-2
May 11 Gamba Osa… vs Sanfrecce… 0-1
May 06 Gamba Osa… vs Urawa 0-1
May 03 Gamba Osa… vs Shonan Be… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cerezo Osaka in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 14, 2025 Gamba Osaka 2 - 5 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
Oct 02, 2024 Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka J1 League
May 06, 2024 Gamba Osaka 1 - 0 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
Oct 28, 2023 Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka J1 League
Jun 18, 2023 Cerezo Osaka 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka J-League Cup
May 03, 2023 Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
Mar 26, 2023 Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka J-League Cup
Jul 16, 2022 Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
May 21, 2022 Cerezo Osaka 3 - 1 Gamba Osaka J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cerezo Osaka to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cerezo Osaka Power 0
Gamba Osaka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.