AI Match Insights

J1 League Jun 15, 2025

Fagiano Okayama

Home
VS
09:00

Avispa Fukuoka

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Fagiano Okayama Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Avispa Fukuoka Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.92 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fagiano Okayama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Avispa Fukuoka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Fagiano Okayama Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 01 Fagiano O… vs Shonan Be… 1-1
May 25 Fagiano O… vs Machida Z… 2-2
May 18 Fagiano O… vs Albirex N… 2-1
May 10 Fagiano O… vs Kashiwa R… 2-0
May 06 Fagiano O… vs Nagoya Gr… 0-0
May 03 Fagiano O… vs Vissel Ko… 2-0
Apr 29 Fagiano O… vs Tokyo Ver… 0-1
Apr 25 Fagiano O… vs Avispa Fu… 1-1
Apr 20 Fagiano O… vs Kashima 1-2
Apr 12 Fagiano O… vs Sanfrecce… 0-1
Avispa Fukuoka Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 08 Avispa Fu… vs Sanfrecce… 2-1
Jun 04 Avispa Fu… vs Sanfrecce… 1-0
May 31 Avispa Fu… vs Tokyo Ver… 0-0
May 24 Avispa Fu… vs Cerezo Os… 2-0
May 21 Avispa Fu… vs Kataller … 1-2
May 17 Avispa Fu… vs Nagoya Gr… 1-1
May 10 Avispa Fu… vs Yokohama … 1-0
May 06 Avispa Fu… vs Kashima 0-1
May 03 Avispa Fu… vs Sanfrecce… 2-1
Apr 29 Avispa Fu… vs Shonan Be… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 25, 2025 Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 1 Fagiano Okayama J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fagiano Okayama to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fagiano Okayama Power 0
Avispa Fukuoka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.