AI Match Insights

J1 League May 17, 2025

Machida Zelvia

Home
VS
05:00

Kashiwa Reysol

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Machida Zelvia Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Kashiwa Reysol Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 0.57 - 2.01
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Machida Zelvia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Kashiwa Reysol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (15%) 0-1 (15%) 0-3 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Machida Zelvia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Machida Z… vs Shimizu S… 2-2
May 07 Machida Z… vs Kyoto San… 1-2
May 03 Machida Z… vs Kashima 1-0
Apr 29 Machida Z… vs Cerezo Os… 1-2
Apr 25 Machida Z… vs Shonan Be… 0-1
Apr 20 Machida Z… vs Vissel Ko… 1-0
Apr 13 Machida Z… vs Urawa 0-2
Apr 09 Machida Z… vs Ventforet… 0-1
Apr 06 Machida Z… vs Kawasaki … 2-2
Feb 22 Machida Z… vs FC Tokyo 0-1
Kashiwa Reysol Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Kashiwa R… vs Yokohama … 0-2
May 10 Kashiwa R… vs Fagiano O… 2-0
May 06 Kashiwa R… vs Shimizu S… 1-0
Apr 29 Kashiwa R… vs Nagoya Gr… 1-2
Apr 26 Kashiwa R… vs Albirex N… 1-1
Apr 20 Kashiwa R… vs Shonan Be… 0-1
Apr 16 Kashiwa R… vs Kashima 2-3
Apr 11 Kashiwa R… vs FC Tokyo 1-1
Apr 06 Kashiwa R… vs Gamba Osa… 1-0
Mar 20 Kashiwa R… vs Azul Clar… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kashiwa Reysol in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Machida Zelvia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2024 Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 1 Machida Zelvia J1 League
May 03, 2024 Machida Zelvia 2 - 0 Kashiwa Reysol J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Machida Zelvia to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Machida Zelvia Power 0
Kashiwa Reysol Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.