AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League May 03, 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse

Home
VS
05:00

Nagoya Grampus

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Shimizu S-Pulse Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Nagoya Grampus Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.48 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shimizu S-Pulse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Nagoya Grampus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Shimizu S-Pulse Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Shimizu S… vs FC Tokyo 0-2
Apr 20 Shimizu S… vs Avispa Fu… 3-1
Apr 16 Shimizu S… vs Yokohama … 2-3
Apr 12 Shimizu S… vs Kawasaki … 1-1
Apr 09 Shimizu S… vs Júbilo Iw… 2-1
Apr 06 Shimizu S… vs Yokohama … 2-0
Mar 26 Shimizu S… vs Sagamihara 1-3
Mar 02 Shimizu S… vs Fagiano O… 1-1
Nov 10 Shimizu S… vs Roasso Ku… 1-0
Nov 03 Shimizu S… vs Iwaki 1-0
Nagoya Grampus Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Nagoya Gr… vs Kashiwa R… 1-2
Apr 25 Nagoya Gr… vs Kashima 1-0
Apr 20 Nagoya Gr… vs Sanfrecce… 2-1
Apr 16 Nagoya Gr… vs Kataller … 1-1
Apr 12 Nagoya Gr… vs Gamba Osa… 2-0
Apr 06 Nagoya Gr… vs Shonan Be… 2-1
Mar 20 Nagoya Gr… vs Tegevajar… 0-3
Dec 08 Nagoya Gr… vs Yokohama … 0-2
Nov 30 Nagoya Gr… vs Sagan Tosu 0-3
Nov 09 Nagoya Gr… vs Kashima 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Shimizu S-Pulse in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Nagoya Grampus struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shimizu S-Pulse to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shimizu S-Pulse Power 0
Nagoya Grampus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.