AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Apr 25, 2025

Avispa Fukuoka

Home
VS
10:00

Fagiano Okayama

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Avispa Fukuoka Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Fagiano Okayama Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 0.97 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Avispa Fukuoka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Fagiano Okayama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (24%) 1-0 (24%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Avispa Fukuoka Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Avispa Fu… vs Shimizu S… 3-1
Apr 16 Avispa Fu… vs Tochigi SC 1-2
Apr 12 Avispa Fu… vs Yokohama … 2-1
Apr 06 Avispa Fu… vs Urawa 1-0
Mar 20 Avispa Fu… vs FC Ryukyu 0-2
Dec 08 Avispa Fu… vs Kawasaki … 3-1
Nov 30 Avispa Fu… vs Urawa 1-0
Nov 09 Avispa Fu… vs Cerezo Os… 1-0
Nov 03 Avispa Fu… vs Kashiwa R… 2-1
Oct 04 Avispa Fu… vs Nagoya Gr… 1-0
Fagiano Okayama Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Fagiano O… vs Kashima 1-2
Apr 12 Fagiano O… vs Sanfrecce… 0-1
Mar 20 Fagiano O… vs Kitakyushu 1-0
Mar 02 Fagiano O… vs Shimizu S… 1-1
Dec 07 Fagiano O… vs Vegalta S… 2-0
Dec 01 Fagiano O… vs Montedio … 0-3
Nov 10 Fagiano O… vs Kashima 0-0
Nov 03 Fagiano O… vs Fujieda M… 2-0
Oct 27 Fagiano O… vs Yokohama … 2-4
Oct 20 Fagiano O… vs Iwaki 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Avispa Fukuoka in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Avispa Fukuoka to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Avispa Fukuoka Power 0
Fagiano Okayama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.