AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Première Division May 14, 2025

Bougouni

Home
VS
16:30

USFAS Bamako

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Bougouni Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
USFAS Bamako Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 1.51
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bougouni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
USFAS Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (25%) 0-2 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 0-3 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Bougouni Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Bougouni vs Réal Bama… 4-0
Apr 05 Bougouni vs ASKO 2-0
Mar 18 Bougouni vs Bakaridjan 0-1
Mar 09 Bougouni vs Djoliba AC 1-0
Feb 03 Bougouni vs Onze Créa… 1-0
Jan 30 Bougouni vs Djoliba AC 2-0
Jan 26 Bougouni vs Stade Mal… 1-2
Jan 21 Bougouni vs USFAS Bam… 0-1
Jan 06 Bougouni vs Réal Bama… 0-3
Dec 14 Bougouni vs ASKO 0-0
USFAS Bamako Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 USFAS Bam… vs Diarra 0-0
May 07 USFAS Bam… vs US Bougou… 0-1
Apr 29 USFAS Bam… vs Onze Créa… 1-0
Apr 06 USFAS Bam… vs Djoliba AC 0-0
Mar 09 USFAS Bam… vs Réal Bama… 2-1
Feb 07 USFAS Bam… vs ASKO 0-0
Jan 21 USFAS Bam… vs Bougouni 0-1
Jan 15 USFAS Bam… vs Diarra 0-2
Jan 11 USFAS Bam… vs US Bougou… 2-1
Jan 06 USFAS Bam… vs Onze Créa… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • USFAS Bamako in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Bougouni struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2025 USFAS Bamako 0 - 1 Bougouni Première Divis…
Mar 16, 2024 USFAS Bamako 1 - 0 Bougouni Première Divis…
Nov 18, 2023 Bougouni 0 - 0 USFAS Bamako Première Divis…
Jun 17, 2023 USFAS Bamako 3 - 0 Bougouni Première Divis…
Feb 04, 2023 Bougouni 3 - 0 USFAS Bamako Première Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bougouni Power 0
USFAS Bamako Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Bougouni Position

-7

Position Gap

6

USFAS Bamako Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.