AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Aug 12, 2025

Stranraer

Home
VS
18:45

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Stranraer Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Alloa Athletic Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.52 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Stranraer Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 1-2
Aug 02 Stranraer vs Forfar At… 1-0
Jul 26 Stranraer vs Queen of … 1-0
Jul 19 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 0-0
Jul 15 Stranraer vs Partick 2-0
Jul 12 Stranraer vs Ross Coun… 1-1
Apr 26 Stranraer vs Elgin City 3-0
Apr 19 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 2-0
Apr 12 Stranraer vs Stirling … 3-1
Apr 05 Stranraer vs Spartans 2-1
Alloa Athletic Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Alloa Ath… vs Birmingha… 1-4
Aug 09 Alloa Ath… vs East Fife 0-1
Aug 06 Alloa Ath… vs Miami FC 2-0
Aug 02 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-2
Jul 31 Alloa Ath… vs New Mexic… 4-0
Jul 26 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 2-3
Jul 26 Alloa Ath… vs Arbroath 1-0
Jul 22 Alloa Ath… vs Ayr Utd 3-0
Jul 22 Alloa Ath… vs Arbroath 6-0
Jul 19 Alloa Ath… vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Stranraer struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 22, 2025 Stranraer 0 - 1 Alloa Athletic League Two
Mar 04, 2025 Stranraer 1 - 2 Alloa Athletic League Two
Jan 25, 2025 Alloa Athletic 0 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Sep 21, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Apr 27, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 0 Stranraer League Two
Mar 02, 2024 Stranraer 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League Two
Dec 02, 2023 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Sep 23, 2023 Stranraer 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League Two
Nov 06, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Stranraer League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stranraer to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stranraer Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.