AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 03, 2026

Rochdale

Home
VS
19:45

Boreham Wood

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Rochdale Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Boreham Wood Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 70%
Market 55%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 32%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 1.35 - 0.93
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Boreham Wood Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Rochdale Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Rochdale vs Southend 2-1
Jan 24 Rochdale vs Truro City 2-0
Jan 21 Rochdale vs Solihull … 0-1
Jan 17 Rochdale vs Gateshead 0-2
Jan 13 Rochdale vs Tamworth 1-1
Dec 30 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 1-2
Dec 26 Rochdale vs Morecambe 1-2
Dec 19 Rochdale vs Altrincham 0-3
Nov 29 Rochdale vs Eastleigh 2-0
Nov 25 Rochdale vs Everton U… 1-0
Boreham Wood Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Boreham W… vs Bolton 1-2
Jan 27 Boreham W… vs Crawley T… 2-0
Jan 24 Boreham W… vs Altrincham 3-1
Jan 20 Boreham W… vs Scunthorpe 1-3
Jan 17 Boreham W… vs Braintree 0-3
Jan 10 Boreham W… vs Brighton 0-5
Dec 30 Boreham W… vs Solihull … 2-1
Dec 26 Boreham W… vs Wealdstone 0-4
Dec 21 Boreham W… vs Carlisle 2-0
Dec 13 Boreham W… vs Crawley T… 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rochdale in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Boreham Wood struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 09, 2025 Boreham Wood 0 - 2 Rochdale National League
Apr 16, 2024 Rochdale 0 - 0 Boreham Wood National League
Sep 19, 2023 Boreham Wood 1 - 1 Rochdale National League
Final Verdict

PRO: Rochdale to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rochdale Power 49
Boreham Wood Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Rochdale Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Boreham Wood Position
Home Win Rate: 85%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.