AI Match Insights
QSL Cup Oct 17, 2025
Al-Gharafa
HomeVS
16:30
Al Sailiya SC
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al-Gharafa Win
Draw
Al Sailiya SC Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.22 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al Sailiya SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
Al-Gharafa Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 02 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Khor | 0-1 |
| Sep 25 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan | 2-3 |
| Sep 22 | Al-Gharafa vs Muaither … | 5-2 |
| Sep 20 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Shamal… | 0-0 |
| Sep 12 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 2-0 |
| Sep 01 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 3-3 |
| Aug 28 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 2-0 |
| Aug 22 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi … | 2-1 |
| Aug 15 | Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal | 4-2 |
| May 14 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 2-2 |
Al Sailiya SC Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 | Al Sailiy… vs UMM Salal | 3-1 |
| Oct 02 | Al Sailiy… vs Muaither … | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Al Sailiy… vs Al-Arabi … | 4-0 |
| Sep 24 | Al Sailiy… vs Al-Markhi… | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Al Sailiy… vs UMM Salal | 2-1 |
| Sep 12 | Al Sailiy… vs Al-Gharafa | 2-0 |
| Sep 03 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Sailiy… | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… | 1-2 |
| Aug 21 | Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al Sailiya SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Al-Gharafa | 2 - 0 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 - 1 | Al-Gharafa | QFA Cup |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Al Sailiya SC | 1 - 2 | Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Aug 02, 2022 | Al-Gharafa | 2 - 1 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
| Mar 10, 2022 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 - 2 | Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 3 - 0 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
| Dec 08, 2021 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 - 0 | Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup |
| Nov 08, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 3 - 1 | Al Sailiya SC | QSL Cup |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 0 - 1 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Gharafa to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Gharafa Power
0
Al Sailiya SC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.