AI Match Insights

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Paraense Série B2 Nov 11, 2025

Santos

Home
VS
13:00

Fluminense

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Santos Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Fluminense Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.40 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Santos vs Flamengo 3-2
Nov 07 Santos vs Palmeiras 2-0
Nov 06 Santos vs Aparecide… 3-0
Nov 03 Santos vs Aparecide… 3-1
Nov 01 Santos vs Fortaleza 1-1
Oct 26 Santos vs Botafogo 2-2
Oct 21 Santos vs Vitoria 0-1
Oct 16 Santos vs Corinthia… 3-1
Oct 05 Santos vs Ceará 3-0
Oct 02 Santos vs Remo 1-1
Fluminense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Fluminense vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Nov 06 Fluminense vs Mirassol 1-0
Nov 02 Fluminense vs Ceará 2-0
Oct 29 Fluminense vs Ceará 1-0
Oct 25 Fluminense vs Internaci… 1-0
Oct 25 Fluminense vs ITZ Sport 0-0
Oct 20 Fluminense vs Vasco DA … 2-0
Oct 17 Fluminense vs Juventude 1-0
Oct 15 Fluminense vs Madureira… 2-3
Oct 11 Fluminense vs Timon MA 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fluminense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Santos struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Santos 0 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Jul 09, 2025 Santos 2 - 2 Fluminense Brasileiro U17
Apr 13, 2025 Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Mar 16, 2025 Santos 3 - 2 Fluminense Piauiense
Mar 09, 2025 Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos Piauiense
Jan 31, 2025 Fluminense 0 - 0 Santos Piauiense
Jan 12, 2025 Santos 1 - 0 Fluminense Piauiense
Feb 29, 2024 Santos 2 - 1 Fluminense Piauiense
Feb 25, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 3 Santos Piauiense
Nov 29, 2023 Santos 0 - 3 Fluminense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Santos to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santos Power 0
Fluminense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.